Power markets, hybrid renewables, and decision systems

Forecast-to-Hedge Monitor

Short-term monitoring layer that compares forecasts, spot prices, forward quotes, and operating constraints to support tactical hedging and dispatch decisions.

What it does

The system brings together short-term market and forecast inputs that usually live in separate places.

It monitors and contrasts:

  • price forecasts
  • production forecasts
  • day-ahead and intraday market prices
  • forward references such as OMIP
  • operating context and deviations

Inputs

Typical sources include public market feeds and specialised forecast providers such as:

  • ESIOS
  • OMIE
  • OMIP
  • AleaSoft
  • Meteologica

What it is used for

  • checking whether expected prices and quoted forwards are aligned or dislocated
  • supporting short-term hedging and tactical market decisions
  • monitoring expected operating outcomes before settlement is final
  • providing a cleaner view of what matters for the next trading window

Why it matters

Forecasts without market context are noise. Market prices without forecast context are incomplete. This layer exists to close that gap.

Outputs

  • forward matrices and historical forecast views
  • short-term monitoring tables
  • market commentary for weekly follow-up
  • tactical support for hedging and active energy management

Status

Internal short-term monitoring and decision-support layer in active operational use.